Cricket
Motorsport
Basketball test
League - Test
Combat Sports
Netball
Football
The UPC Showdown Roughie Report for Eagle Farm, Ascot, Ballarat and Rosehill (07/12)
The Leg Up • December 7th, 2024 10:00 am
Racing at Eagle Farm, Ascot, Ballarat and Rosehill is the focus this weekend.
See below the Roughie Report thanks to The Leg Up and UPC Showdown.
Blake Johnston
VALSPAR (Rosehill R3 #13) is simply a must bet every day of the week, even though he’s clearly no good thing. He has improved his rating in all five runs this preparation since a 341-day spell and if he can continue that trajectory, he’ll be right in the finish. He hasn’t been a punters pal starting favourite in each of those runs, the longest price was $2.70 when he broke his maiden three back. Last start the blinkers went on for the first time and he should have won, he was shuffled back at a key stage before hitting the line to narrowly miss with a gap to third, he gave the winner 4.5kg there. He drops 5kg into this and can measure up.
BOJANGLES (Rosehill R8 #14) did enough first-up over an unsuitable trip to clock the seventh-best last 200m of the meeting first-up when specked in the market. Drew poorly second-up and was taken right back to near last, before finishing off down the middle of the track on a day that not many did. He gets to 1400m third-up and can settle closer from a better draw. Did finish second to Schwarz in G3 company over this trip and beat home KONASANA (main danger for me) who he meets 4.5kg better at the weights. Expect sharp improvement.
SUPER SMINK (Ascot R9 #14) had the wide draw against in the Railway Stakes and was held-up at a key stage. Her work back to the inside was terrific. Question mark over her at the trip but she should land closer here and won’t have to work to get into the race.
CADMUS (Ballarat R9 #17) was good first-up closing in the best last 800m of the race. He settled well back last time out against the race shape and made no impact. Can settle closer here and we can expect sharp improvement at big odds.
Nick Lloyd
DEEP RESPECT (Eagle Farm R7 #6) was good first-up with the race shape against. The leaders dominated and he was making ground late from back and wide. No doubt, Transatlantic is going to be hard to beat, but this horse will relish stepping up in trip and getting onto a drier surface. He can fill the numbers.
BLITZUM (Eagle Farm R9 #9) was impressive winning fresh at Ipswich four weeks ago. He was well backed and really put his rivals to the sword. He's been back to the trials and trialled stylishly, and now finds a big track and steps up to 1400m which really looks to suit. If the track gets up to a Good 4 by this time of the afternoon - which I expect it will - he can be fighting out the finish.
What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit. For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
